SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Glentoran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Larne | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for St Joseph's had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest St Joseph's win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | St Joseph's |
45.05% ( 0.02) | 25.4% ( -0.02) | 29.55% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.6% ( 0.07) | 49.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( 0.06) | 71.44% ( -0.06) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 0.03) | 21.91% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% ( 0.05) | 55.18% ( -0.06) |
| St Joseph's Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.03) | 30.72% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( 0.04) | 66.97% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | St Joseph's |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 45.04% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.55% |
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