Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Antona Malatinskeho
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Spartak Trnava and Lech Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Spartak Trnava | Draw | Lech Poznan |
32.6% ( -0.78) | 26.82% ( 0.14) | 40.58% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.64) |
| 45.87% ( -0.72) | 54.12% ( 0.72) |
| 24.46% ( -0.61) | 75.54% ( 0.61) |
| 68.99% ( -0.88) | 31.01% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.68% ( -1.04) | 67.31% ( 1.04) |
| 73.79% ( 0.02) | 26.21% ( -0.01) |
