SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Trnava | Draw | Lech Poznan |
32.6% ( -0.78) | 26.82% ( 0.14) | 40.58% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.91% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% ( -0.72) | 54.12% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( -0.61) | 75.54% ( 0.61) |
| Spartak Trnava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.88) | 31.01% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( -1.04) | 67.31% ( 1.04) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( 0.02) | 26.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( 0.02) | 61.31% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Trnava | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.6% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.58% |
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