SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-0 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kauno Zalgiris | Draw | Lech Poznan |
24.94% ( 0.05) | 24.91% ( 0.02) | 50.15% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.05) | 50.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( -0.04) | 72.32% ( 0.04) |
| Kauno Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0.02) | 34.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.42% ( 0.02) | 71.58% ( -0.02) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -0.05) | 20.1% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.65% ( -0.08) | 52.35% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kauno Zalgiris | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.14% |
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