Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Antona Malatinskeho
Duris (47', 68'), Azango (60')
Bainovic (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Spartak Trnava and Wisla Krakow.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Wisla Krakow had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wisla Krakow win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.
| Result |
| Spartak Trnava | Draw | Wisla Krakow |
40.94% ( 0.17) | 25.7% ( -0.05) | 33.35% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.75% ( 0.14) |
| 50.71% ( 0.2) | 49.29% ( -0.2) |
| 28.65% ( 0.18) | 71.34% ( -0.18) |
| 76.16% ( 0.18) | 23.84% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.98% ( 0.25) | 58.02% ( -0.25) |
| 71.89% ( 0.03) | 28.11% ( -0.02) |
