SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Pyunik would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Pyunik | Draw | Kalmar |
47.15% ( -0.01) | 25.52% ( -0) | 27.33% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.87% ( 0.02) | 51.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( 0.01) | 72.98% ( -0.01) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% | 21.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% ( 0) | 54.83% ( -0) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( 0.02) | 33.28% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% ( 0.02) | 69.9% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Pyunik | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.35% Total : 47.15% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.33% |
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