Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Struga had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Struga win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
