SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swift Hesperange win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Struga had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swift Hesperange win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Struga win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swift Hesperange would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swift Hesperange | Draw | Struga |
55.27% ( -1.13) | 23% ( 0.68) | 21.73% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( -1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.45% ( -2.44) | 45.55% ( 2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.12% ( -2.37) | 67.88% ( 2.37) |
| Swift Hesperange Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.66% ( -1.23) | 16.34% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.06% ( -2.28) | 45.94% ( 2.28) |
| Struga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.92% ( -0.95) | 35.08% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.17% ( -1.01) | 71.83% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swift Hesperange | Draw | Struga |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.27% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.99% | 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 21.73% |
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