SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Milsami had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Milsami win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Milsami |
58.88% ( -0.8) | 24.08% ( 0.39) | 17.04% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 43.6% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.08% ( -0.83) | 55.91% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.98% ( -0.68) | 77.02% ( 0.68) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -0.61) | 18.82% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( -1.03) | 50.25% ( 1.02) |
| Milsami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.71% ( 0.02) | 46.29% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.05% ( 0.02) | 81.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Milsami |
| 1-0 @ 14.55% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.87% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 17.04% |
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