SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | KuPS | 15 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 16 | 9 | 33 |
| 3 | Honka | 15 | 15 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Milsami had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Milsami win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Milsami | Draw | KuPS |
36.45% ( 0.02) | 26.9% ( 0) | 36.65% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.03) | 53.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -0.02) | 75.41% ( 0.02) |
| Milsami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.52% ( -0) | 28.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.75% | 64.24% ( -0) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.03) | 28.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0.04) | 64.1% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Milsami | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.45% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 36.64% |
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