SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Floriana had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Floriana win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Floriana | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
35.09% ( -0.08) | 24.98% ( -0.04) | 39.93% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 57.64% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.27% ( 0.16) | 45.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.95% ( 0.15) | 68.05% ( -0.15) |
| Floriana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( 0.03) | 25.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( 0.04) | 60.16% ( -0.04) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( 0.13) | 22.78% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.52% ( 0.19) | 56.48% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Floriana | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.09% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.93% |
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