SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
57.59% ( 0.23) | 22.25% ( -0.03) | 20.16% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.17) | 44.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( -0.16) | 66.66% ( 0.16) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( 0.02) | 15.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.32% ( 0.04) | 43.68% ( -0.04) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.09% ( -0.31) | 35.91% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( -0.31) | 72.69% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.58% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.16% |
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