Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Anderlecht |
50.22% ( 0.05) | 23.99% ( 0.01) | 25.78% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( -0.1) | 45.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.85% ( -0.09) | 68.15% ( 0.09) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.7% ( -0.02) | 18.3% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.62% ( -0.03) | 49.38% ( 0.03) |
Anderlecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% ( -0.1) | 31.7% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( -0.12) | 68.12% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Anderlecht |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.78% |
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