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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 7pm UK
Lotto Park

Anderlecht
3 - 0
Paide

Silva (62'), Murillo (72', 75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anderlecht 3-1 RFC Seraing
Sunday, August 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Paide 0-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, August 4 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Anderlecht 3-0 Paide

Anderlecht are in sharp goalscoring form at the moment, and Paide are set to have a hard time coping with their hosts' attacking threat. We are tipping the home side to cruise to an emphatic victory, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Paide had a probability of 17.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Paide win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Anderlecht in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Anderlecht.

Result
AnderlechtDrawPaide
56.38% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 25.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 17.98% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)60.01% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.75% (0.023 0.02)80.25% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)54.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
Paide Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.1% (0.026 0.03)82.9% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 56.37%
    Paide 17.98%
    Draw 25.64%
AnderlechtDrawPaide
1-0 @ 15.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 56.37%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Anderlecht 3-1 RFC Seraing
Sunday, August 7 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Paide 0-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, August 4 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Anderlecht
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 Oostende
Sunday, July 24 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-2 Union SG
Sunday, May 15 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Paide 0-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, August 4 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 0-0 Ararat-Armenia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 28 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ararat-Armenia 0-0 Paide
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paide 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 2-3 Paide
Thursday, July 7 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-0 Paide
Thursday, July 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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