SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Basel | 35 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
| 5 | St Gallen | 35 | 1 | 47 |
| 6 | Servette | 35 | -16 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 55.65%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | St Gallen |
55.65% ( -3.02) | 20.37% ( 0.34) | 23.98% ( 2.68) |
| Both teams to score 66.83% ( 2.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.52% ( 1.73) | 30.47% ( -1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.24% ( 2.04) | 51.76% ( -2.04) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.85% ( -0.25) | 11.15% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.38% ( -0.55) | 35.61% ( 0.56) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( 3.1) | 24.78% ( -3.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( 4.14) | 59.35% ( -4.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.82)1-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.67)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.65)3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.39)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.1)4-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.19)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 55.65% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.38)0-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.4)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.52% Total : 23.98% |
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