SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sion | 35 | -21 | 40 |
| 9 | Luzern | 35 | -13 | 37 |
| 10 | Lausanne Sport | 36 | -37 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Basel | 35 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 35 | 27 | 57 |
| 4 | Lugano | 36 | -1 | 57 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.13%) and 0-1 (6.9%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Young Boys |
24.49% ( -0.25) | 21.2% ( -0.04) | 54.31% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 64.31% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66% ( -0.05) | 34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.13% ( -0.06) | 55.87% ( 0.06) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.22) | 26.35% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( -0.29) | 61.49% ( 0.29) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.31% ( 0.07) | 12.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.13% ( 0.14) | 38.87% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.49% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.54% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 54.31% |
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