SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Breidablik |
51.38% ( 0.1) | 20.93% ( 0.02) | 27.69% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 68.73% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.2) | 29.63% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.25% ( -0.24) | 50.74% ( 0.24) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( -0.05) | 12.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.44% ( -0.09) | 37.56% ( 0.08) |
| Breidablik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.18) | 21.85% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( -0.27) | 55.08% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Breidablik |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.35% 4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.69% |
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