SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
62.28% ( -0.03) | 19.11% ( 0) | 18.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.02) | 31.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.6% ( 0.02) | 53.4% ( -0.03) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( -0) | 9.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.2% ( -0) | 32.79% |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( 0.04) | 30.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% ( 0.04) | 66.28% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.27% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.56% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.97% 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 62.28% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.11% | 1-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 18.61% |
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