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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest LNZ Cherkasy win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
37.39% ( 0.31) | 26.43% ( 0.15) | 36.17% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.64) | 52.03% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.55) | 73.76% ( 0.56) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( -0.12) | 27% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( -0.16) | 62.35% ( 0.16) |
| LNZ Cherkasy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( -0.57) | 27.71% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.73% ( -0.74) | 63.27% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | LNZ Cherkasy |
| 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.39% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.89% Total : 36.17% |
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