Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.
