Wolfsburg
2 - 0
Desna

Guilavogui (16'), Ginczek (90+2')
Marmoush (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tamm (57'), Konoplia (66'), Ogirya (71'), Totovytsky (88')
Tamm (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Wolfsburg and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
48.87%	24.74%	26.39%

Both teams to score 53.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.43%

48.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3%

70.7%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09%

19.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.95%

52.05%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32%

32.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77%

69.23%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 48.87%

Desna Chernihiv 26.39%

Draw 24.74%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.47% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.86% Total : 48.87%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.51% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.39%