SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Partizan win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Partizan |
37.43% ( -0.17) | 26.48% ( -0.02) | 36.09% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.75% ( 0.1) | 52.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% ( 0.09) | 73.95% ( -0.09) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0.05) | 27.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0.07) | 62.46% ( 0.06) |
| Partizan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 0.16) | 27.87% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( 0.21) | 63.47% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Partizan |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 36.09% |
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