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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Partizana

Partizan
2 - 2
Larnaca

Gomes (24', 54')
Natcho (52'), Markovic (60'), Urosevic (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gyurcso (51'), Faraj (57')
Casas (81'), Mamas (90+1'), Piric (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Partizan 2-0 AEK Larnaca

Partizan have been near-impenetrable on their home turf in recent weeks, claiming eight wins and two draws from their last 10 games. We are tipping them to turn this tie around in front of their home crowd against an opposing side who have managed just two wins in their last seven games on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizan win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
PartizanDrawAEK Larnaca
41.49% (0.032999999999994 0.03) 25.94% (-0.108 -0.11) 32.57% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 53.73% (0.385 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.484 0.48)50.51% (-0.483 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (0.427 0.43)72.43% (-0.425 -0.42)
Partizan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (0.23099999999999 0.23)24.1% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.6% (0.328 0.33)58.4% (-0.327 -0.33)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (0.29300000000001 0.29)29.21% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (0.358 0.36)65.16% (-0.357 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Partizan 41.48%
    AEK Larnaca 32.57%
    Draw 25.93%
PartizanDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.138 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.66% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Partizan 1-0 Fenerbahce
Saturday, July 2 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Feyenoord 3-1 Partizan
Thursday, March 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Partizan 2-5 Feyenoord
Thursday, March 10 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Partizan 2-1 Sparta Prague
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sparta Prague 0-1 Partizan
Thursday, February 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Larnaca 2-1 Partizan
Thursday, August 4 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Midtjylland (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 26 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Larnaca
Tuesday, July 19 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Gent 3-0 Larnaca
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Gent
Thursday, August 8 at 4.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Levski Sofia 0-4 Larnaca
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Europa League Qualifying


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