Ararat-Armenia
1 - 2
Red Star

Lima (72')
Ambartsumyan (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Katai (45'), Falcinelli (60')
Rodic (29'), Falcinelli (45+2'), Ivanic (55')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Ararat-Armenia and Red Star Belgrade.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Ararat-Armenia had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an Ararat-Armenia win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.

Result
Ararat-Armenia	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
18.55%	23.87%	57.58%

Both teams to score 46.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.91%

53.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.33%

74.67%

Ararat-Armenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.22%

42.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.9%

79.1%

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.76%

18.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.72%

49.28%

Score Analysis

Ararat-Armenia 18.55%

Red Star Belgrade 57.57%

Draw 23.86%

Ararat-Armenia	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 6.63% 2-1 @ 4.79% 2-0 @ 2.81% 3-1 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.81% Total : 18.55%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7.8% 2-2 @ 4.07% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 13.27% 0-2 @ 11.29% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-3 @ 6.41% 1-3 @ 5.44% 0-4 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 0.98% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.57%