Slavia have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent times, and we think that they will provide Athletic with a tough test in Thursday's Europa League clash.
However, Athletic tend to be a strong force at San Mames, and we think that home advantage will help them claim a narrow victory on matchday three.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 53.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Slavia Prague win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
0.44) 
-0.13) 
