Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 32.11% and a draw has a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.75%).