Athletic will be missing some key players this weekend, and Espanyol are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable match for the home side. The Lions can still call upon some excellent quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to all three points on Saturday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
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