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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
NL

Real Sociedad
0 - 1
Napoli


Le Normand (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Politano (56')
Lozano (45'), Osimhen (81')
Osimhen (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.68%) and 0-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawNapoli
32.99%21.2%45.82%
Both teams to score 71.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.27%27.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.59%48.41%
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95%18.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05%48.94%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.95%13.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.37%39.63%
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 32.99%
    Napoli 45.82%
    Draw 21.2%
Real SociedadDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 7.03%
3-2 @ 4.09%
1-0 @ 4.03%
3-1 @ 4.01%
2-0 @ 3.45%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-2 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 32.99%
1-1 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 7.16%
3-3 @ 2.77%
0-0 @ 2.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.2%
1-2 @ 8.36%
1-3 @ 5.68%
0-2 @ 4.88%
2-3 @ 4.86%
0-1 @ 4.8%
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.89%
2-4 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 1.69%
3-4 @ 1.41%
1-5 @ 1.18%
2-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 45.82%


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