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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
BayArena
RB

B. Leverkusen
4 - 0
Real Betis

Diaby (42', 52'), Wirtz (86'), Amiri (90')
Adli (10'), Andrich (44')
Demirbay (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fekir (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawReal Betis
44.4%23.95%31.65%
Both teams to score 60.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.03%41.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.62%64.37%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86%19.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22%50.78%
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38%25.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5%60.5%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.4%
    Real Betis 31.65%
    Draw 23.95%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawReal Betis
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 44.4%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 31.65%

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