SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Rangers |
49.17% ( -0.18) | 22.13% ( 0.05) | 28.7% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 64.96% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.12% ( -0.17) | 34.88% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.14% ( -0.2) | 56.85% ( 0.2) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( -0.12) | 14.61% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.29% ( -0.24) | 42.71% ( 0.24) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.01) | 23.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -0.01) | 58.15% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Rangers |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.17% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.7% |
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