SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.74%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
76.74% ( 1.07) | 15.24% ( -0.43) | 8.02% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 43.81% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.7% ( -0.25) | 40.3% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.33% ( -0.26) | 62.67% ( 0.26) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.26% ( 0.18) | 8.74% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.97% ( 0.45) | 30.03% ( -0.46) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48% ( -1.68) | 52% ( 1.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.99% ( -1.12) | 86% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.72% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.24% | 0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.71% Total : 8.02% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
