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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
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Benfica
4 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (55', 75'), Neres (57'), di Maria (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Varela (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-0 Portimonense

Benfica and Portimonense have had a contrasting campaign, with the Alvinegros scrambling for points at the bottom end of the table. Both form and history are on Benfica's side this weekend and we are backing them to claim all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.65%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 5.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPortimonense
83.65% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1) 10.89% (0.115 0.12) 5.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.71% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.16% (-0.82899999999999 -0.83)28.84% (0.821 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.22% (-1.022 -1.02)49.78% (1.015 1.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.05% (-0.172 -0.17)4.95% (0.1641 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.18% (-0.502 -0.5)19.82% (0.496 0.5)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.14% (-0.764 -0.76)50.86% (0.757 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.75% (-0.521 -0.52)85.25% (0.514 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 83.65%
    Portimonense 5.45%
    Draw 10.89%
BenficaDrawPortimonense
3-0 @ 11.39% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 11.37% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 8.57% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.7% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.279 0.28)
4-1 @ 5.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
5-0 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 3.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-0 @ 2.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.75% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.062 -0.06)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 83.65%
1-1 @ 5.11% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.6% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 10.89%
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.7% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 5.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Benfica
Thursday, February 22 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Benfica 6-1 Vizela
Sunday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, February 8 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-4 Portimonense
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Farense
Friday, January 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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