Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
50.46% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() | 26.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.52% (![]() | 43.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.12% (![]() | 65.88% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.68% (![]() | 17.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.31% (![]() | 47.69% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% (![]() | 30.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.56% (![]() | 66.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
2-1 @ 9.63% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 3.88% Total : 50.46% | 1-1 @ 10.98% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 6.56% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.03% |
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