Verona might have shown a certain resilience on the road in recent times - often turning potential defeats into draws - but Lazio are capable of opening up their defence multiple times and should get another victory over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
57.24% ( 0.3)	22.34% ( -0.04)	20.42% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 54.52% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

-0.15)

44.32% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

-0.15)

66.7% (

0.14)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

0.05)

15.24% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

0.09)

43.92% (

-0.09)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33% (

-0.34)

35.67% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56% (

-0.35)

72.44% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Lazio 57.24%

Hellas Verona 20.42%

Draw 22.33%

Lazio	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.24%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.33%	0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.87% Total : 20.42%