Lazio have drawn the most opening round games of any Serie A club - 29 in all - but they will not add to that tally this weekend, as they breeze past Bologna. The hosts have recruited well, and Sarri's philosophy is becoming second nature to a talented squad.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
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