SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 29.46% | 24.83% | 45.71% |
| Both teams to score 55.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% | 47.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% | 29.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.41% | 65.59% |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% | 20.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.82% | 53.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 4.53% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.32% Total : 29.46% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 4.87% 0-3 @ 4% 2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.71% |
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