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IB
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Sep 19, 2021 at 5pm UK
Fatih Terim Stadium

Istanbul
2 - 0
Fenerbahce

Okaka (16'), Gulbrandsen (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gustavo (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFenerbahce
29.46%24.83%45.71%
Both teams to score 55.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99%47.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.25%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44%29.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38%20.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.82%53.18%
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 29.46%
    Fenerbahce 45.71%
    Draw 24.83%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-1 @ 7.15%
2-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 2.9%
3-2 @ 2.29%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 9.62%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 4.87%
0-3 @ 4%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.92%
0-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 45.71%

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