Gent
1 - 4
Hoffenheim

Kleindienst (90+3')
Ngadeu-Ngadjui (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Belfodil (36' pen.), Grillitsch (52'), Gacinovic (73'), Dabour (90+4')
Rudy (51'), Vogt (72')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League match between Gent and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Gent	Draw	Hoffenheim
31.16%	25.51%	43.32%

Both teams to score 54.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.84%

49.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77%

71.23%

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52%

29.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51%

65.48%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38%

22.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.77%

56.23%

Score Analysis

Gent 31.16%

Hoffenheim 43.32%

Draw 25.51%

Gent	Draw	Hoffenheim
1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.37% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.36% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.32%