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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 5pm UK
Weserstadion
HL

Werder Bremen
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Eggestein (5')
Friedl (79'), Gebre Selassie (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Geiger (22')
Posch (59'), Gacinovic (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
32.85%24.98%42.18%
Both teams to score 57.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.76%46.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46%68.54%
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.72%62.28%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09%21.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83%55.18%
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 32.85%
    Hoffenheim 42.18%
    Draw 24.97%
Werder BremenDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 7.74%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.85%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-2 @ 6.81%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.71%
0-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 42.18%


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