Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.