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KL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
HL

FC Koln
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Andersson (22'), Drexler (86')
Bornauw (33'), Duda (69'), Hector (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kramaric (4', 45+3' pen., 90+2')
Bicakcic (45+5'), Bebou (90'), Baumann (90'), Kaderabek (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
34.05%24.05%41.89%
Both teams to score 60.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.37%41.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.97%64.03%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97%24.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7%58.29%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91%20.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67%52.33%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 34.05%
    Hoffenheim 41.89%
    Draw 24.05%
FC KolnDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 7.88%
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.91%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.05%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-1 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.36%
0-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 41.89%


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