Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Granada had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Granada win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.