Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.