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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 13, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
JL

Napoli
1 - 0
Juventus

Insigne (31' pen.)
Di Lorenzo (23'), Bakayoko (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chiellini (30'), Cuadrado (45'), Rabiot (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawJuventus
39.15%23.75%37.1%
Both teams to score 62.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.36%39.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.01%61.99%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02%52.98%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.51%21.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.46%54.54%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 39.15%
    Juventus 37.1%
    Draw 23.74%
NapoliDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 8.51%
1-0 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 5.53%
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.15%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.54%
0-0 @ 4.41%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 8.25%
0-1 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 4.23%
2-3 @ 3.35%
0-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.29%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.1%

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