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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
AM

Granada
1 - 2
Atletico

Herrera (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
16.39%22.51%61.1%
Both teams to score 46.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96%51.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1%72.9%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.77%44.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.69%80.31%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.74%16.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.2%45.8%
Score Analysis
    Granada 16.39%
    Atletico Madrid 61.09%
    Draw 22.51%
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.87%
2-1 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.39%
3-1 @ 1.18%
3-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 16.39%
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 13.06%
0-2 @ 11.86%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-3 @ 7.18%
1-3 @ 5.86%
0-4 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-5 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.09%
1-5 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 61.09%

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