SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.57%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
52.44% ( -4.65) | 21.39% ( 1.11) | 26.16% ( 3.54) |
| Both teams to score 65.45% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( -1.61) | 33.29% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( -1.87) | 55.05% ( 1.87) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( -1.85) | 13% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% ( -3.91) | 39.52% ( 3.91) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( 1.72) | 24.77% ( -1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( 2.34) | 59.34% ( -2.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.41)1-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.54)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.64)3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.54)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.53)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.34)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.3)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.38% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.26)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.68) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.44)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.16% |
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