SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Galatasaray |
34.36% ( -0.01) | 24.93% ( 0) | 40.71% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.01) | 45.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -0.01) | 67.97% ( 0.01) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.01) | 25.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.32% ( -0.01) | 60.68% ( 0.01) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( 0) | 22.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.15% ( 0) | 55.85% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 7.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.37% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.38% 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.97% 1-4 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.71% |
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