SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.46%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
54.82% ( 0.04) | 21.32% | 23.85% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.67% ( -0.04) | 35.32% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.65% ( -0.04) | 57.35% ( 0.04) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% ( -0.01) | 12.97% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.53% ( -0) | 39.47% |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.05) | 27.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.91% ( -0.07) | 63.08% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 23.85% |
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