Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.