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Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 29, 2020 at 8pm UK
Allianz Riviera

Nice
1 - 0
Be'er Sheva

Gouiri (23')
Kamara (54'), Schneiderlin (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bareiro (36'), Pesqueira (59'), Agudelo (62'), Vitor (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
54.61%22.44%22.96%
Both teams to score 57.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39%41.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36%64.01%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82%15.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2%43.8%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24%31.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81%68.19%
Score Analysis
    Nice 54.61%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 22.96%
    Draw 22.43%
NiceDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
2-1 @ 9.83%
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 6.18%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.91%
4-0 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 1.67%
5-1 @ 1.1%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 54.61%
1-1 @ 10.42%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.82%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-1 @ 5.53%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 22.96%


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