Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.