Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.