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Europa League | Playoffs
Oct 1, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
L

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 4
LASK

Tomas (42')
Neto (25'), Porro (36'), L (90+3')
Coates (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Trauner (14'), Raguz (58'), Michorl (65'), Gruber (69')
Michorl (20')
Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Sporting Lisbon and LASK Linz.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 39.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.39%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawLASK Linz
39.55%19.4%41.04%
Both teams to score 80.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.71%17.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.87%34.14%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.27%10.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.32%34.68%
LASK Linz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7%10.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.3%33.71%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 39.55%
    LASK Linz 41.05%
    Draw 19.4%
Sporting LisbonDrawLASK Linz
2-1 @ 6.26%
3-2 @ 5.29%
3-1 @ 4.66%
4-2 @ 2.95%
2-0 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.6%
1-0 @ 2.47%
4-3 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 2.05%
5-2 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 1.14%
5-3 @ 1%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 39.55%
2-2 @ 7.11%
1-1 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 4.01%
4-4 @ 1.27%
0-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.4%
1-2 @ 6.37%
2-3 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 4.83%
2-4 @ 3.06%
0-2 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 2.74%
0-1 @ 2.51%
3-4 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-5 @ 1.39%
1-5 @ 1.25%
0-4 @ 1.23%
3-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 41.05%


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