Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LASK Linz win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 39.55% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a LASK Linz win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.39%) and 1-3 (4.83%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LASK Linz would win this match.